Research Desk
Returns are on each case's own side since publication; closed cases are frozen at the close. Every published case counts, including the ones that didn't work. Methodology
Oracle has transformed itself from a cash-generative software franchise into a leveraged AI infrastructure contractor, taking on junk-adjacent debt to build data centres for a single customer whose own financial stability is uncertain. The stock, already down roughly 56% from its 52-week high, still prices in flawless execution of a capex programme that is burning cash faster than management guided and that three rating agencies now view as structurally risky.
Nike's stock has been reset to multi-year lows on a guidance cut that the market is treating as a permanent impairment, but the underlying brand franchise -- still the world's largest athletic footwear company by market share -- retains structural advantages that a trough valuation does not reflect. The long case rests on brand durability surviving a cyclical reset, with margin recovery and cost savings providing the financial bridge.
FuelCell Energy has pivoted credibly into AI data center power, securing its first committed equipment order (up to 380 MW with Fit Energy) and a 75 MW capacity reservation in Texas, while the stock sits roughly 53% below its 52-week high after a Q3 earnings miss. The market is discounting near-term margin pain and missing the scale of the commercial pipeline, which reached approximately 10 GW by end of Q3 fiscal 2026.
STMicroelectronics is emerging from a severe two-year down-cycle with accelerating revenue momentum, a data center revenue ramp that management has guided above $1 billion in 2026 and above $2 billion in 2027, and a manufacturing restructuring program that should drive 400+ basis points of gross margin improvement by 2027-2028. The stock has recovered sharply from its 52-week low but still trades well below consensus price targets and its prior-cycle peak, leaving meaningful upside if the earnings recovery tracks guidance.
Personal investment cases published by @reserach_desk. For information only; not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Price changes are measured from the price at publication.